Serie A Serie A March 18, 2026
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

21
FT
Botafogo

Botafogo

We predicted

Palmeiras 4+ 43% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 18 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Palmeiras 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Palmeiras
Rank#2
Played38
Points76
PPG2.0
Goal Diff33
W W L D D
Botafogo
6#Rank
38Played
63Points
1.66PPG
20Goal Diff
W D D W W
Most Likely Scores
Palmeiras 4+
19.3%
2-0
14.9%
6.72
1-0
12.9%
7.74
3-0
11.4%
8.76
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.5
NO 60% · 1.67
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Palmeiras 64% · 1.57
Draw 28% · 3.61
Botafogo 9% · 11.47
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.83 Under 45% · 2.21
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28 Under 22% · 4.58
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.11 Under 68% · 1.47

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Palmeiras Palmeiras
W W L D D
Botafogo Botafogo
W D D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Palmeiras
Stat
Botafogo
2.3
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.59
#2
League Pos.
#6
76 pts
Points
63 pts
2.0
Points / Game
1.66
+33
Goal Diff.
+20

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
Palmeiras
Draw
Botafogo
9 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras H
9 7 1 1 +10 22
2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
10 6 2 2 +8 20
3
Fluminense Fluminense
10 6 2 2 +6 20
4
Bahia Bahia
8 5 2 1 +5 17
5
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
9 5 1 3 +3 16
6
Coritiba Coritiba
10 4 3 3 +1 15
7
Flamengo Flamengo
8 4 2 2 +5 14
8
Botafogo Botafogo A
9 4 0 5 -3 12
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
10 3 3 4 -1 12
10
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
9 3 2 4 +1 11
11
Gremio Gremio
9 3 2 4 +0 11
12
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
9 3 2 4 -1 11
13
Vitoria Vitoria
8 3 1 4 -5 10
14
Santos Santos
9 2 4 3 -1 10
15
Corinthians Corinthians
9 2 4 3 -2 10
16
Internacional Internacional
9 2 3 4 -2 9
17
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
8 1 4 3 -6 7
18
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
10 1 4 5 -8 7
19
Mirassol Mirassol
8 1 3 4 -3 6
20
Remo Remo
9 1 3 5 -7 6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record