Ligue 1 Ligue 1 February 14, 2026
Paris FC

Paris FC

05
FT
Lens

Lens

We predicted

1-1 29% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–5

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 29%
Team Context
Paris FC
Rank#15
Played21
Points22
PPG1.05
Goal Diff-8
D D D W L
Lens
2#Rank
21Played
49Points
2.33PPG
20Goal Diff
W W L W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.8%
9.25
Lens 4+
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
10.56
0-1
8.4%
11.96
Both Teams To Score
YES 60% · 1.67
NO 40% · 2.5
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Paris FC 28% · 3.52
Draw 23% · 4.26
Lens 48% · 2.08
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.71 Under 41% · 2.41
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.24 Under 19% · 5.18
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.77 Under 64% · 1.57

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Paris FC Paris FC
D D D W L
Lens Lens
W W L W W

Key Stats Comparison

Paris FC
Stat
Lens
1.29
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.75
#15
League Pos.
#2
22 pts
Points
49 pts
1.05
Points / Game
2.33
-8
Goal Diff.
+20

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
3 W
Paris FC
Draw
Lens
13 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
27 20 3 4 +38 63
2
Lens Lens A
28 19 2 7 +27 59
3
Lille Lille
28 15 5 8 +11 50
4
Marseille Marseille
28 15 4 9 +18 49
5
Monaco Monaco
28 15 4 9 +10 49
6
Lyon Lyon
28 14 6 8 +12 48
7
Rennes Rennes
28 13 8 7 +7 47
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
28 12 7 9 +12 43
9
Lorient Lorient
28 9 11 8 -4 38
10
Toulouse Toulouse
28 10 7 11 +4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
28 10 6 12 -6 36
12
Angers Angers
28 9 6 13 -13 33
13
Paris FC Paris FC H
28 7 11 10 -11 32
14
Le Havre Le Havre
28 6 10 12 -13 28
15
Nice Nice
28 7 6 15 -22 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
28 5 8 15 -14 23
17
Nantes Nantes
27 4 6 17 -21 18
18
Metz Metz
28 3 6 19 -35 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record