Ligue 1 Ligue 1 February 21, 2026
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

30
FT
Metz

Metz

We predicted

Paris Saint Germain 4+ 34% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Paris Saint Germain 4+
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Paris Saint Germain
Rank#2
Played22
Points51
PPG2.32
Goal Diff30
L W W W W
Metz
18#Rank
22Played
13Points
0.59PPG
-27Goal Diff
L D L L L
Most Likely Scores
Paris Saint Germain 4+
15.2%
2-0
12.8%
7.81
1-0
12.3%
8.12
2-1
9.6%
10.37
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.16
NO 54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Paris Saint Germain 68% · 1.47
Draw 20% · 5.13
Metz 12% · 8.03
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.87 Under 46% · 2.15
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29 Under 23% · 4.41
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.21 Under 69% · 1.45

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
L W W W W
Metz Metz
L D L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Paris Saint Germain
Stat
Metz
2.08
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.75
#2
League Pos.
#18
51 pts
Points
13 pts
2.32
Points / Game
0.59
+30
Goal Diff.
-27

Head to Head

Full H2H record
5 W
0 D
0 W
Paris Saint Germain
Draw
Metz
19 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain H
27 20 3 4 +38 63
2
Lens Lens
28 19 2 7 +27 59
3
Lille Lille
28 15 5 8 +11 50
4
Marseille Marseille
27 15 4 8 +19 49
5
Lyon Lyon
27 14 5 8 +12 47
6
Rennes Rennes
28 13 8 7 +7 47
7
Monaco Monaco
27 14 4 9 +9 46
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
28 12 7 9 +12 43
9
Toulouse Toulouse
28 10 7 11 +4 37
10
Lorient Lorient
27 9 10 8 -4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
28 10 6 12 -6 36
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
27 7 10 10 -11 31
14
Le Havre Le Havre
27 6 9 12 -13 27
15
Nice Nice
28 7 6 15 -22 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
27 5 7 15 -14 22
17
Nantes Nantes
26 4 5 17 -21 17
18
Metz Metz A
27 3 5 19 -35 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record