Ligue 1 Ligue 1 April 3, 2026
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

31
FT
Toulouse

Toulouse

We predicted

Paris Saint Germain 4+ 45% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Paris Saint Germain 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 45%
Team Context
Paris Saint Germain
Rank#1
Played25
Points57
PPG2.28
Goal Diff32
L W W L W
Toulouse
12#Rank
25Played
31Points
1.24PPG
4Goal Diff
L L D L L
Most Likely Scores
Paris Saint Germain 4+
18.7%
2-0
14.2%
7.03
1-0
12.5%
7.98
3-0
10.8%
9.28
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.38
NO 58% · 1.73
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Paris Saint Germain 63% · 1.6
Draw 28% · 3.56
Toulouse 9% · 10.74
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.81 Under 45% · 2.23
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.27 Under 22% · 4.64
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.07 Under 67% · 1.48

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
L W W L W
Toulouse Toulouse
L L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Paris Saint Germain
Stat
Toulouse
2.27
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.63
#1
League Pos.
#12
57 pts
Points
31 pts
2.28
Points / Game
1.24
+32
Goal Diff.
+4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
0 D
1 W
Paris Saint Germain
Draw
Toulouse
21 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain H
27 20 3 4 +38 63
2
Lens Lens
28 19 2 7 +27 59
3
Lille Lille
28 15 5 8 +11 50
4
Marseille Marseille
28 15 4 9 +18 49
5
Monaco Monaco
28 15 4 9 +10 49
6
Lyon Lyon
28 14 6 8 +12 48
7
Rennes Rennes
28 13 8 7 +7 47
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
28 12 7 9 +12 43
9
Lorient Lorient
28 9 11 8 -4 38
10
Toulouse Toulouse A
28 10 7 11 +4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
28 10 6 12 -6 36
12
Angers Angers
28 9 6 13 -13 33
13
Paris FC Paris FC
28 7 11 10 -11 32
14
Le Havre Le Havre
28 6 10 12 -13 28
15
Nice Nice
28 7 6 15 -22 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
28 5 8 15 -14 23
17
Nantes Nantes
27 4 6 17 -21 18
18
Metz Metz
28 3 6 19 -35 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record