Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone B March 22, 2026
Pavia

Pavia

10
FT
Castellanzese

Castellanzese

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Pavia
Rank#16
Played27
Points25
PPG0.93
Goal Diff-14
D D W W L
Castellanzese
11#Rank
27Played
36Points
1.33PPG
6Goal Diff
D W L W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
7.99
0-1
11.1%
9.0
1-2
8.9%
11.19
1-0
8.8%
11.42
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.95
NO 49% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Pavia 22% · 4.58
Draw 34% · 2.96
Castellanzese 44% · 2.25
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13 Under 53% · 1.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38 Under 28% · 3.62
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.94 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pavia Pavia
D D W W L
Castellanzese Castellanzese
D W L W W

Key Stats Comparison

Pavia
Stat
Castellanzese
1.13
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.43
#16
League Pos.
#11
25 pts
Points
36 pts
0.93
Points / Game
1.33
-14
Goal Diff.
+6

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Pavia
Draw
Castellanzese
1 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record