Primera División - Apertura Primera División - Apertura March 29, 2026
Penarol

Penarol

12
FT
Racing Montevideo

Racing Montevideo

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Penarol
Rank#1
Played7
Points16
PPG2.29
Goal Diff10
W W W L W
Racing Montevideo
3#Rank
7Played
13Points
1.86PPG
5Goal Diff
D W W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.9%
8.38
1-0
11.3%
8.87
2-1
9.5%
10.55
2-0
9.0%
11.17
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.93
NO 48% · 2.08
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Penarol 48% · 2.09
Draw 33% · 3.02
Racing Montevideo 19% · 5.21
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.03 Under 51% · 1.97
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35 Under 26% · 3.86
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.66 Under 73% · 1.38

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Penarol Penarol
W W W L W
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo
D W W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Penarol
Stat
Racing Montevideo
1.59
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.06
#1
League Pos.
#3
16 pts
Points
13 pts
2.29
Points / Game
1.86
+10
Goal Diff.
+5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record