Campionato Campionato March 21, 2026
Pennarossa

Pennarossa

20
FT
Murata

Murata

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Pennarossa
Rank#12
Played25
Points21
PPG0.84
Goal Diff-28
L L D L L
Murata
16#Rank
25Played
7Points
0.28PPG
-49Goal Diff
L L L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.6%
8.66
1-0
9.6%
10.47
2-1
9.4%
10.63
Pennarossa 4+
7.9%
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.77
NO 44% · 2.29
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Pennarossa 42% · 2.37
Draw 29% · 3.48
Murata 29% · 3.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.86 Under 46% · 2.17
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29 Under 23% · 4.44
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.17 Under 68% · 1.46

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pennarossa Pennarossa
L L D L L
Murata Murata
L L L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Pennarossa
Stat
Murata
1.63
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.21
#12
League Pos.
#16
21 pts
Points
7 pts
0.84
Points / Game
0.28
-28
Goal Diff.
-49

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
3 W
Pennarossa
Draw
Murata
15 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tre Fiori Tre Fiori
26 19 6 1 +43 63
2
Virtus Virtus
26 19 5 2 +39 62
3
Tre Penne Tre Penne
26 18 6 2 +42 60
4
La Fiorita La Fiorita
26 14 10 2 +33 52
5
Folgore Folgore
26 14 7 5 +27 49
6
Domagnano Domagnano
26 12 7 8 +24 42
7
Fiorentino Fiorentino
26 12 4 10 -9 40
8
Cosmos Cosmos
26 10 8 8 +8 38
9
Juvenes / Dogana Juvenes / Dogana
26 8 8 10 -4 32
10
Libertas Libertas
26 8 8 10 -18 32
11
San Giovanni San Giovanni
26 6 10 10 -11 28
12
Pennarossa Pennarossa H
26 6 6 14 -26 24
13
Faetano Faetano
26 5 4 17 -30 19
14
San Marino Academy San Marino Academy
26 3 6 17 -30 15
15
Cailungo Cailungo
26 2 4 20 -37 10
16
Murata Murata A
26 1 4 21 -51 7

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record