League One League One March 17, 2026
Plymouth

Plymouth

10
FT
Stevenage

Stevenage

We predicted

Plymouth 4+ 43% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 17 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Plymouth 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Plymouth
Rank#10
Played37
Points53
PPG1.43
Goal Diff3
D W W L W
Stevenage
5#Rank
36Played
57Points
1.58PPG
3Goal Diff
W L W W L
Most Likely Scores
Plymouth 4+
20.0%
2-0
11.1%
9.04
2-1
9.7%
10.29
1-0
9.4%
10.6
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.89
NO 47% · 2.12
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Plymouth 60% · 1.67
Draw 29% · 3.5
Stevenage 12% · 8.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61 Under 38% · 2.64
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2 Under 17% · 5.89
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.52 Under 60% · 1.66

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Plymouth Plymouth
D W W L W
Stevenage Stevenage
W L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Plymouth
Stat
Stevenage
2.35
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.88
#10
League Pos.
#5
53 pts
Points
57 pts
1.43
Points / Game
1.58
+3
Goal Diff.
+3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
1 D
0 W
Plymouth
Draw
Stevenage
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lincoln Lincoln
40 26 9 5 +41 87
2
Cardiff Cardiff
39 23 8 8 +32 77
3
Bolton Bolton
40 18 15 7 +17 69
4
Bradford Bradford
40 20 8 12 +6 68
5
Stockport County Stockport County
39 19 9 11 +9 66
6
Reading Reading
41 16 14 11 +9 62
7
Stevenage Stevenage A
39 17 10 12 +3 61
8
Wycombe Wycombe
41 16 11 14 +13 59
9
Plymouth Plymouth H
40 18 5 17 +5 59
10
Huddersfield Huddersfield
40 16 10 14 +8 58
11
Luton Luton
40 16 10 14 +4 58
12
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
38 13 13 12 +8 52
13
Barnsley Barnsley
38 13 12 13 -1 51
14
Peterborough Peterborough
39 15 5 19 +4 50
15
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
40 14 8 18 -7 50
16
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
40 14 8 18 -10 50
17
Doncaster Doncaster
40 14 8 18 -19 50
18
Blackpool Blackpool
41 13 9 19 -15 48
19
Burton Albion Burton Albion
41 12 11 18 -11 47
20
Wigan Wigan
40 11 13 16 -13 46
21
Exeter City Exeter City
41 11 10 20 -11 43
22
Rotherham Rotherham
39 9 10 20 -23 37
23
Northampton Northampton
40 9 8 23 -24 35
24
Port Vale Port Vale
38 7 10 21 -25 31

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record