Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone E March 22, 2026
Poggibonsi

Poggibonsi

12
FT
Sporting Trestina

Sporting Trestina

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Poggibonsi
Rank#16
Played27
Points24
PPG0.89
Goal Diff-16
D L W W L
Sporting Trestina
10#Rank
27Played
34Points
1.26PPG
-1Goal Diff
D W W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
7.72
1-0
11.9%
8.41
0-1
9.9%
10.11
0-0
9.1%
11.03
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.06
NO 52% · 1.94
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Poggibonsi 43% · 2.33
Draw 34% · 2.9
Sporting Trestina 23% · 4.43
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.33 Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.24
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.53 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Poggibonsi Poggibonsi
D L W W L
Sporting Trestina Sporting Trestina
D W W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Poggibonsi
Stat
Sporting Trestina
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.09
#16
League Pos.
#10
24 pts
Points
34 pts
0.89
Points / Game
1.26
-16
Goal Diff.
-1

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record