I Liga I Liga March 15, 2026
Pogoń Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce

10
FT
Znicz Pruszków

Znicz Pruszków

We predicted

1-1 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Pogoń Siedlce
Rank#14
Played24
Points27
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-3
L D D W L
Znicz Pruszków
16#Rank
24Played
20Points
0.83PPG
-22Goal Diff
L D D D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.1%
9.02
1-0
10.3%
9.76
Pogoń Siedlce 4+
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
10.19
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.83
NO 45% · 2.21
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Pogoń Siedlce 50% · 2.0
Draw 32% · 3.12
Znicz Pruszków 18% · 5.58
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.85 Under 46% · 2.18
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.29 Under 22% · 4.48
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.15 Under 68% · 1.47

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
L D D W L
Znicz Pruszków Znicz Pruszków
L D D D L

Key Stats Comparison

Pogoń Siedlce
Stat
Znicz Pruszków
1.77
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#14
League Pos.
#16
27 pts
Points
20 pts
1.13
Points / Game
0.83
-3
Goal Diff.
-22

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
26 15 8 3 +33 53
2
Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw
27 13 8 6 +11 47
3
Chrobry Głogów Chrobry Głogów
26 13 5 8 +13 44
4
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
26 11 9 6 +6 42
5
Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa
26 11 8 7 +5 41
6
Ruch Chorzów Ruch Chorzów
26 11 8 7 +4 41
7
ŁKS Łódź ŁKS Łódź
27 11 8 8 +2 41
8
Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków
26 11 7 8 +12 40
9
Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica
26 11 6 9 +0 39
10
Stal Rzeszów Stal Rzeszów
26 11 6 9 -1 39
11
Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom
25 10 6 9 +7 36
12
Puszcza Niepołomice Puszcza Niepołomice
26 8 11 7 +3 35
13
Odra Opole Odra Opole
26 7 10 9 -7 31
14
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce H
27 7 9 11 -4 30
15
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
26 6 5 15 -16 23
16
Znicz Pruszków Znicz Pruszków A
27 6 5 16 -23 23
17
Górnik Łęczna Górnik Łęczna
26 3 11 12 -16 20
18
Tychy 71 Tychy 71
27 3 6 18 -29 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record