Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa March 16, 2026
Pogon Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin

21
FT
Korona Kielce

Korona Kielce

We predicted

Pogon Szczecin 4+ 37% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 16 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Pogon Szczecin 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Pogon Szczecin
Rank#14
Played24
Points31
PPG1.29
Goal Diff-4
L W W W D
Korona Kielce
11#Rank
24Played
33Points
1.38PPG
2Goal Diff
W L L W L
Most Likely Scores
Pogon Szczecin 4+
13.5%
1-1
10.1%
9.95
2-1
10.0%
10.0
1-0
9.8%
10.17
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.81
NO 45% · 2.23
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Pogon Szczecin 54% · 1.86
Draw 31% · 3.24
Korona Kielce 15% · 6.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.73 Under 42% · 2.37
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 5.05
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.84 Under 65% · 1.54

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
L W W W D
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
W L L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Pogon Szczecin
Stat
Korona Kielce
1.99
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.02
#14
League Pos.
#11
31 pts
Points
33 pts
1.29
Points / Game
1.38
-4
Goal Diff.
+2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
27 12 9 6 +9 45
2
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
27 11 9 7 +9 42
3
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
27 12 6 9 +7 42
4
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
26 11 8 7 +10 41
5
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
27 10 9 8 +2 39
6
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
27 11 6 10 +2 39
7
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
27 12 3 12 +1 39
8
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
27 9 11 7 -3 38
9
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
27 12 6 9 +5 37
10
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce A
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
27 9 9 9 +0 36
12
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
27 10 5 12 -2 35
13
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
27 8 10 9 +2 34
14
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin H
27 10 4 13 -6 34
15
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
27 7 12 8 +1 33
16
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
27 8 6 13 -3 30
17
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
26 8 6 12 -19 30
18
Nieciecza Nieciecza
27 6 7 14 -17 25

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record