FKF Premier League
April 3, 2026
Police
1–0
FT
Tusker
We predicted
1-0
38% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 3 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Police
Rank#5
Played25
Points40
PPG1.6
Goal Diff5
W
L
W
W
D
Tusker
9#Rank
25Played
37Points
1.48PPG
-2Goal Diff
L
W
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.5%
6.47
0-0
14.8%
6.78
1-1
13.4%
7.47
0-1
12.8%
7.82
Both Teams To Score
YES
38% · 2.66
NO
62% · 1.6
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Police
27% · 3.65
Draw
37% · 2.71
Tusker
36% · 2.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.34
Under 70% · 1.43
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75
Under 43% · 2.33
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
87%
Over 13% · 7.84
Under 87% · 1.15
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Police
W
L
W
W
D
Tusker
L
W
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Police
Stat
Tusker
1.05
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.87
#5
League Pos.
#9
40 pts
Points
37 pts
1.6
Points / Game
1.48
+5
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Police
Draw
Tusker
7
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GOR Mahia
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 2 |
AFC Leopards
|
27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | +18 | 55 |
| 3 |
Homeboyz
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +14 | 45 |
| 4 |
Police
H
|
26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 43 |
| 5 |
Shabana
|
27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 43 |
| 6 |
KCB
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +0 | 40 |
| 7 |
Nairobi United
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 38 |
| 8 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 38 |
| 9 |
Bandari
|
27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | +3 | 38 |
| 10 |
Tusker
A
|
26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 |
Mara Sugar
|
26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 |
Mathare United
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 |
Kariobangi Sharks
|
27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 |
APS Bomet
|
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 |
Bidco United
|
27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 |
Sofapaka
|
27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | -21 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.