Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 March 28, 2026
Polvorín

Polvorín

12
FT
Celtiga

Celtiga

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Polvorín
Rank#9
Played26
Points37
PPG1.42
Goal Diff0
W D L W D
Celtiga
10#Rank
26Played
36Points
1.38PPG
6Goal Diff
D L D W L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.1
1-0
10.7%
9.36
2-1
9.0%
11.1
0-1
8.5%
11.81
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.9
NO 47% · 2.11
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Polvorín 44% · 2.25
Draw 34% · 2.98
Celtiga 22% · 4.55
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.06 Under 52% · 1.94
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36 Under 26% · 3.78
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.75 Under 73% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Polvorín Polvorín
W D L W D
Celtiga Celtiga
D L D W L

Key Stats Comparison

Polvorín
Stat
Celtiga
1.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#9
League Pos.
#10
37 pts
Points
36 pts
1.42
Points / Game
1.38
+0
Goal Diff.
+6

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
1 W
CD Lugo B
Draw
Celtiga
3 total goals
1 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record