Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 March 21, 2026
Ponferradina

Ponferradina

31
FT
Unionistas de Salamanca

Unionistas de Salamanca

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Ponferradina
Rank#10
Played28
Points40
PPG1.43
Goal Diff5
D L W W W
Unionistas de Salamanca
12#Rank
28Played
38Points
1.36PPG
1Goal Diff
L D D W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.11
1-1
12.7%
7.86
0-0
10.2%
9.8
2-0
9.7%
10.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.25
NO 55% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ponferradina 47% · 2.14
Draw 34% · 2.9
Unionistas de Salamanca 19% · 5.32
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.51 Under 60% · 1.66
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 2.99
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.08 Under 80% · 1.24

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ponferradina Ponferradina
D L W W W
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
L D D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Ponferradina
Stat
Unionistas de Salamanca
1.38
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.9
#10
League Pos.
#12
40 pts
Points
38 pts
1.43
Points / Game
1.36
+5
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tenerife Tenerife
31 19 8 4 +33 65
2
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
31 15 9 7 +5 54
3
Ponferradina Ponferradina H
31 13 8 10 +10 47
4
Barakaldo Barakaldo
31 12 11 8 +8 47
5
Pontevedra Pontevedra
30 11 13 6 +13 46
6
Real Madrid U21 Real Madrid U21
31 13 7 11 +5 46
6
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
31 13 7 11 +5 46
7
Zamora Zamora
31 12 10 9 +5 46
8
Lugo Lugo
31 11 12 8 +0 45
9
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca A
31 12 8 11 +2 44
10
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
31 12 8 11 -2 44
11
Mérida AD Mérida AD
31 12 8 11 -3 44
12
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
30 12 5 13 -5 41
14
Real Avilés Real Avilés
31 10 7 14 -8 37
15
CF Talavera CF Talavera
31 9 8 14 -8 35
16
Guadalajara Guadalajara
31 9 8 14 -11 35
17
Ourense CF Ourense CF
31 8 10 13 -3 34
18
Cacereño Cacereño
31 6 13 12 -12 31
19
Osasuna II Osasuna II
31 7 9 15 -14 30
20
Arenteiro Arenteiro
31 6 8 17 -14 26

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record