ScoresFooty
Championship Championship March 16, 2026
Portsmouth

Portsmouth

0–1
FT
Derby

Derby

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 16 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Portsmouth
Rank#19
Played35
Points40
PPG1.14
Goal Diff-10
D L L W W
Derby
7#Rank
36Played
54Points
1.5PPG
7Goal Diff
W W L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.6%
7.35
1-1
13.4%
7.49
0-0
11.6%
8.59
0-1
11.4%
8.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.32
NO 57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Portsmouth 28% · 3.57
Draw 36% · 2.81
Derby 36% · 2.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.75 Under 64% · 1.57
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.58 Under 37% · 2.73
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.85 Under 83% · 1.21
View Full Predictions

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Portsmouth Portsmouth
D L L W W
Derby Derby
W W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Portsmouth
Stat
Derby
1.17
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#19
League Pos.
#7
40 pts
Points
54 pts
1.14
Points / Game
1.5
-10
Goal Diff.
+7

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
3 D
2 W
Portsmouth
Draw
Derby
15 total goals
5 meetings

Last 3 Meetings

Championship 16 Mar
Championship 20 Dec 2025
Championship 12 Apr 2025

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
41 25 9 7 +42 84
2
Ipswich Ipswich
39 20 12 7 +29 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
41 20 12 9 +21 72
4
Millwall Millwall
41 21 9 11 +9 72
5
Hull City Hull City
41 20 8 13 +5 68
6
Wrexham Wrexham
40 17 13 10 +9 64
7
Southampton Southampton
39 17 12 10 +15 63
8
Derby Derby A
41 18 9 14 +9 63
9
Norwich Norwich
41 17 7 17 +7 58
10
Watford Watford
41 14 15 12 +3 57
11
Bristol City Bristol City
41 16 9 16 +1 57
12
QPR QPR
41 16 9 16 -5 57
13
Stoke City Stoke City
41 15 9 17 +3 54
14
Preston Preston
41 13 15 13 -4 54
15
Swansea Swansea
41 15 9 17 -5 54
16
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
41 15 6 20 -1 51
18
Charlton Charlton
41 12 13 16 -11 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
41 12 11 18 -12 47
20
West Brom West Brom
41 11 12 18 -14 45
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth H
40 10 12 18 -17 42
22
Leicester Leicester
41 11 14 16 -9 41
23
Oxford United Oxford United
41 9 14 18 -15 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
41 1 10 30 -57 -5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record