Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 April 1, 2026
Portugalete

Portugalete

10
FT
Durango

Durango

We predicted

Portugalete 4+ 40% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, April 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Portugalete 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Portugalete
Rank#1
Played28
Points68
PPG2.43
Goal Diff41
D W D W D
Durango
11#Rank
28Played
37Points
1.32PPG
0Goal Diff
L L W L L
Most Likely Scores
Portugalete 4+
13.7%
1-0
12.9%
7.74
2-0
12.9%
7.78
1-1
9.7%
10.33
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.2
NO 55% · 1.83
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Portugalete 60% · 1.67
Draw 32% · 3.1
Durango 8% · 12.63
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.95 Under 49% · 2.06
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32 Under 24% · 4.12
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.43 Under 71% · 1.41

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Portugalete Portugalete
D W D W D
Durango Durango
L L W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Portugalete
Stat
Durango
1.99
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.75
#1
League Pos.
#11
68 pts
Points
37 pts
2.43
Points / Game
1.32
+41
Goal Diff.
+0

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete H
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango A
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record