Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 March 19, 2026
Portugalete

Portugalete

20
FT
Zamudio

Zamudio

We predicted

Portugalete 4+ 55% confidence
View full match details Thursday, March 19 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Portugalete 4+
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 55%
Team Context
Portugalete
Rank#1
Played26
Points64
PPG2.46
Goal Diff39
D W D W W
Zamudio
15#Rank
26Played
26Points
1.0PPG
-13Goal Diff
D L L L W
Most Likely Scores
Portugalete 4+
27.3%
2-0
11.8%
8.47
3-0
10.7%
9.36
2-1
8.8%
11.34
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.04
NO 51% · 1.96
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Portugalete 65% · 1.54
Draw 26% · 3.8
Zamudio 9% · 11.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 2.99
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.17 Under 14% · 7.0
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.25 Under 56% · 1.8

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Portugalete Portugalete
D W D W W
Zamudio Zamudio
D L L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Portugalete
Stat
Zamudio
2.72
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.75
#1
League Pos.
#15
64 pts
Points
26 pts
2.46
Points / Game
1.0
+39
Goal Diff.
-13

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
0 W
Portugalete
Draw
Zamudio
5 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete H
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio A
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record