Primera División - Apertura
March 31, 2026
Progreso
3–3
FT
Liverpool Montevideo
We predicted
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Tuesday, March 31 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
3–3
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Progreso
Rank#6
Played7
Points6
PPG0.86
Goal Diff-6
L
L
W
L
W
Liverpool Montevideo
5#Rank
7Played
8Points
1.14PPG
-2Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
8.02
0-1
10.4%
9.66
1-0
8.9%
11.24
1-2
8.7%
11.44
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.9
NO
47% · 2.12
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Progreso
23% · 4.28
Draw
34% · 2.96
Liverpool Montevideo
43% · 2.33
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.07
Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.36
Under 27% · 3.75
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.78
Under 74% · 1.36
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Progreso
L
L
W
L
W
Liverpool Montevideo
L
L
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Progreso
Stat
Liverpool Montevideo
1.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.4
#6
League Pos.
#5
6 pts
Points
8 pts
0.86
Points / Game
1.14
-6
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
0 W
Progreso
Draw
Liverpool Montevideo
6
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.