ScoresFooty
Primera División - Apertura Primera División - Apertura April 4, 2026
Progreso

Progreso

0–2
FT
Penarol

Penarol

We predicted

0-1 43% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 0–2

We predicted the correct result direction (away win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Progreso
Rank#6
Played7
Points6
PPG0.86
Goal Diff-6
L L W L W
Penarol
1#Rank
7Played
16Points
2.29PPG
10Goal Diff
W W W L W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
21.4%
4.68
0-2
17.2%
5.81
0-0
13.3%
7.55
0-3
9.3%
10.8
Both Teams To Score
YES 27% · 3.71
NO 73% · 1.37
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Progreso 9% · 10.63
Draw 32% · 3.11
Penarol 58% · 1.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.04 Under 67% · 1.49
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67 Under 40% · 2.5
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.86 Under 85% · 1.17
View Full Predictions

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Progreso Progreso
L L W L W
Penarol Penarol
W W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Progreso
Stat
Penarol
0.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.61
#6
League Pos.
#1
6 pts
Points
16 pts
0.86
Points / Game
2.29
-6
Goal Diff.
+10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
1 W
Progreso
Draw
Penarol
2 total goals
1 meetings

Last 1 Meetings

Primera División - Apertura Yesterday

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record