Eredivisie Eredivisie March 7, 2026
PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

21
FT
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

We predicted

PSV Eindhoven 4+ 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted PSV Eindhoven 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
PSV Eindhoven
Rank#1
Played25
Points65
PPG2.6
Goal Diff43
W W L W W
AZ Alkmaar
6#Rank
25Played
39Points
1.56PPG
2Goal Diff
L W W D L
Most Likely Scores
PSV Eindhoven 4+
11.1%
1-1
10.1%
9.95
2-1
9.3%
10.73
1-0
7.2%
13.97
Both Teams To Score
YES 64% · 1.57
NO 36% · 2.74
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
PSV Eindhoven 49% · 2.05
Draw 34% · 2.98
AZ Alkmaar 18% · 5.7
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59 Under 37% · 2.71
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.2 Under 16% · 6.09
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.45 Under 59% · 1.69

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
W W L W W
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
L W W D L

Key Stats Comparison

PSV Eindhoven
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
1.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.4
#1
League Pos.
#6
65 pts
Points
39 pts
2.6
Points / Game
1.56
+43
Goal Diff.
+2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
1 D
0 W
PSV Eindhoven
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
22 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven H
29 23 2 4 +42 71
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
28 16 5 7 +21 53
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
29 15 8 6 +24 53
4
Twente Twente
29 13 11 5 +18 50
5
Ajax Ajax
29 12 12 5 +17 48
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar A
29 13 6 10 +4 45
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen
28 11 8 9 +3 41
8
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
28 12 5 11 -12 41
9
Utrecht Utrecht
29 11 8 10 +10 41
10
Groningen Groningen
29 12 5 12 +5 41
11
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
29 10 5 14 -11 35
12
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
28 8 9 11 -15 33
13
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
28 7 11 10 +0 32
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
28 7 6 15 -18 27
15
Telstar Telstar
29 6 9 14 -10 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior
29 7 6 16 -20 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
28 5 8 15 -21 23
18
Heracles Heracles
28 5 4 19 -37 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record