Eredivisie Eredivisie February 21, 2026
PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

31
FT
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

We predicted

1-1 27% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
PSV Eindhoven
Rank#1
Played23
Points59
PPG2.57
Goal Diff39
L W W D W
Heerenveen
8#Rank
23Played
31Points
1.35PPG
0Goal Diff
W W L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.2%
8.94
2-1
9.5%
10.55
1-0
9.0%
11.1
PSV Eindhoven 4+
8.8%
Both Teams To Score
YES 58% · 1.72
NO 42% · 2.38
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
PSV Eindhoven 48% · 2.09
Draw 24% · 4.17
Heerenveen 28% · 3.56
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.78 Under 44% · 2.28
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26 Under 21% · 4.78
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.97 Under 66% · 1.51

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
L W W D W
Heerenveen Heerenveen
W W L D L

Key Stats Comparison

PSV Eindhoven
Stat
Heerenveen
1.69
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.24
#1
League Pos.
#8
59 pts
Points
31 pts
2.57
Points / Game
1.35
+39
Goal Diff.
+0

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
0 D
1 W
PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Heerenveen
15 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven H
29 23 2 4 +42 71
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
29 16 6 7 +21 54
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
29 15 8 6 +24 53
4
Twente Twente
29 13 11 5 +18 50
5
Ajax Ajax
29 12 12 5 +17 48
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
29 13 6 10 +4 45
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen A
29 12 8 9 +6 44
8
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
29 12 6 11 -12 42
9
Utrecht Utrecht
29 11 8 10 +10 41
10
Groningen Groningen
29 12 5 12 +5 41
11
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
29 8 11 10 +5 35
12
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
29 10 5 14 -11 35
13
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
29 8 9 12 -20 33
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
29 7 7 15 -18 28
15
Telstar Telstar
29 6 9 14 -10 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior
29 7 6 16 -20 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
29 5 9 15 -21 24
18
Heracles Heracles
29 5 4 20 -40 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record