Eredivisie Eredivisie March 14, 2026
PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

23
FT
NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

We predicted

PSV Eindhoven 4+ 54% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted PSV Eindhoven 4+
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 54%
Team Context
PSV Eindhoven
Rank#1
Played26
Points68
PPG2.62
Goal Diff44
W W W L W
NEC Nijmegen
3#Rank
26Played
46Points
1.77PPG
21Goal Diff
W L D D L
Most Likely Scores
PSV Eindhoven 4+
33.9%
3-1
8.4%
11.86
2-1
8.2%
12.17
3-0
7.1%
14.06
Both Teams To Score
YES 66% · 1.51
NO 34% · 2.95
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
PSV Eindhoven 62% · 1.6
Draw 27% · 3.77
NEC Nijmegen 11% · 9.05
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27 Under 21% · 4.76
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
92%
Over 92% · 1.08 Under 8% · 12.97
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.51

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
W W W L W
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
W L D D L

Key Stats Comparison

PSV Eindhoven
Stat
NEC Nijmegen
3.08
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
#1
League Pos.
#3
68 pts
Points
46 pts
2.62
Points / Game
1.77
+44
Goal Diff.
+21

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
PSV Eindhoven
Draw
NEC Nijmegen
26 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven H
29 23 2 4 +42 71
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
28 16 5 7 +21 53
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen A
29 15 8 6 +24 53
4
Twente Twente
29 13 11 5 +18 50
5
Ajax Ajax
29 12 12 5 +17 48
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
29 13 6 10 +4 45
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen
28 11 8 9 +3 41
8
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
28 12 5 11 -12 41
9
Utrecht Utrecht
29 11 8 10 +10 41
10
Groningen Groningen
29 12 5 12 +5 41
11
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
29 10 5 14 -11 35
12
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
28 8 9 11 -15 33
13
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
28 7 11 10 +0 32
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
28 7 6 15 -18 27
15
Telstar Telstar
29 6 9 14 -10 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior
29 7 6 16 -20 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
28 5 8 15 -21 23
18
Heracles Heracles
28 5 4 19 -37 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record