Eredivisie
April 4, 2026
PSV Eindhoven
4–3
FT
Utrecht
We predicted
PSV Eindhoven 4+
47% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 4 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
PSV Eindhoven 4+
|
Actual
4–3
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — PSV Eindhoven 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
47%
Team Context
PSV Eindhoven
Rank#1
Played26
Points68
PPG2.62
Goal Diff44
W
W
W
L
W
Utrecht
9#Rank
26Played
35Points
1.35PPG
7Goal Diff
D
W
D
W
W
Most Likely Scores
PSV Eindhoven 4+
19.2%
2-0
10.8%
9.29
2-1
9.8%
10.2
1-0
9.3%
10.72
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.86
NO
46% · 2.16
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
PSV Eindhoven
59% · 1.69
Draw
29% · 3.46
Utrecht
12% · 8.29
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61
Under 38% · 2.63
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21
Under 17% · 5.86
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.53
Under 60% · 1.65
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
PSV Eindhoven
W
W
W
L
W
Utrecht
D
W
D
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
PSV Eindhoven
Stat
Utrecht
2.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.91
#1
League Pos.
#9
68 pts
Points
35 pts
2.62
Points / Game
1.35
+44
Goal Diff.
+7
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Utrecht
23
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
H
|
29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +24 | 53 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +17 | 48 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 9 |
Utrecht
A
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | +5 | 41 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 15 |
Telstar
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.