Championship
April 25, 2026
QPR
14:00
VS
Derby
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 25 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
QPR
Rank#16
Played36
Points47
PPG1.31
Goal Diff-12
L
L
L
W
L
Derby
7#Rank
36Played
54Points
1.5PPG
7Goal Diff
W
W
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.6%
8.62
0-1
10.2%
9.82
1-2
9.5%
10.48
0-2
8.4%
11.95
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.82
NO
45% · 2.21
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
QPR
20% · 5.03
Draw
33% · 3.06
Derby
47% · 2.11
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.9
Under 47% · 2.11
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.31
Under 23% · 4.27
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.3
Under 70% · 1.44
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
QPR
L
L
L
W
L
Derby
W
W
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
QPR
Stat
Derby
1.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.64
#16
League Pos.
#7
47 pts
Points
54 pts
1.31
Points / Game
1.5
-12
Goal Diff.
+7
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
40 | 25 | 8 | 7 | +42 | 83 |
| 2 |
Millwall
|
40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | +10 | 72 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
40 | 20 | 11 | 9 | +21 | 71 |
| 4 |
Ipswich
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +28 | 69 |
| 5 |
Hull City
|
40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | +5 | 67 |
| 6 |
Wrexham
|
40 | 17 | 13 | 10 | +9 | 64 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 63 |
| 8 |
Derby
A
|
40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | +7 | 60 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
40 | 14 | 14 | 12 | +3 | 56 |
| 10 |
QPR
H
|
40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | -5 | 56 |
| 11 |
Norwich
|
40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | +6 | 55 |
| 12 |
Stoke City
|
40 | 15 | 9 | 16 | +5 | 54 |
| 13 |
Bristol City
|
40 | 15 | 9 | 16 | +0 | 54 |
| 14 |
Birmingham
|
40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | -2 | 53 |
| 15 |
Preston
|
40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | -4 | 53 |
| 16 |
Swansea
|
40 | 15 | 8 | 17 | -5 | 53 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd
|
40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | +0 | 51 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | -11 | 48 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | -12 | 46 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | -14 | 44 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | -17 | 41 |
| 22 |
Leicester
|
40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | -9 | 40 |
| 23 |
Oxford United
|
40 | 9 | 13 | 18 | -15 | 40 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
40 | 1 | 9 | 30 | -57 | -6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.