Primera División RFEF - Group 1
March 22, 2026
Racing Ferrol
0–0
FT
Barakaldo
We predicted
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
0–0
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Racing Ferrol
Rank#8
Played28
Points41
PPG1.46
Goal Diff1
D
W
L
L
W
Barakaldo
4#Rank
28Played
43Points
1.54PPG
9Goal Diff
W
W
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
7.83
1-0
11.8%
8.5
0-1
9.3%
10.73
2-1
8.8%
11.43
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.03
NO
51% · 1.98
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Racing Ferrol
30% · 3.33
Draw
34% · 2.93
Barakaldo
36% · 2.79
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.25
Under 56% · 1.8
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.42
Under 30% · 3.37
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.3
Under 77% · 1.3
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Racing Ferrol
D
W
L
L
W
Barakaldo
W
W
L
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Racing Ferrol
Stat
Barakaldo
1.37
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.09
#8
League Pos.
#4
41 pts
Points
43 pts
1.46
Points / Game
1.54
+1
Goal Diff.
+9
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
1 W
Racing Ferrol
Draw
Barakaldo
6
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tenerife
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +33 | 65 |
| 2 |
Celta de Vigo II
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +5 | 54 |
| 3 |
Ponferradina
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 47 |
| 4 |
Barakaldo
A
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |
Pontevedra
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 6 |
Real Madrid II
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +5 | 46 |
| 7 |
Zamora
|
31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +5 | 46 |
| 8 |
Lugo
|
31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | +0 | 45 |
| 9 |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | +2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club II
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Mérida AD
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 |
Racing Ferrol
H
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Arenas Getxo
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 |
Real Avilés
|
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 |
CF Talavera
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 |
Guadalajara
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 |
Ourense CF
|
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 |
Cacereño
|
31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 |
Osasuna II
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 |
Arenteiro
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -14 | 26 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.