Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa March 5, 2026
Radomiak Radom

Radomiak Radom

31
FT
Arka Gdynia

Arka Gdynia

We predicted

Radomiak Radom 4+ 26% confidence
View full match details Thursday, March 5 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Radomiak Radom 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Most Likely Scores
Radomiak Radom 4+
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
8.85
1-1
10.6%
9.42
2-0
10.6%
9.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.94
NO 48% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Radomiak Radom 59% · 1.69
Draw 22% · 4.47
Arka Gdynia 19% · 5.37
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88 Under 47% · 2.13
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.34
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.25 Under 69% · 1.44

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Radomiak Radom
Stat
Arka Gdynia
1.87
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.94

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
27 12 9 6 +9 45
2
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
27 11 9 7 +9 42
3
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
27 12 6 9 +7 42
4
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
26 11 8 7 +10 41
5
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
27 10 9 8 +2 39
6
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
27 11 6 10 +2 39
7
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
27 12 3 12 +1 39
8
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
27 9 11 7 -3 38
9
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
27 12 6 9 +5 37
10
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
27 9 9 9 +0 36
12
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
27 10 5 12 -2 35
13
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom H
27 8 10 9 +2 34
14
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
27 10 4 13 -6 34
15
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
27 7 12 8 +1 33
16
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
27 8 6 13 -3 30
17
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia A
26 8 6 12 -19 30
18
Nieciecza Nieciecza
27 6 7 14 -17 25

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record