Challenge League Challenge League April 4, 2026
Rapperswil

Rapperswil

45
FT
FC Aarau

FC Aarau

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 4–5

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Rapperswil
Rank#6
Played27
Points29
PPG1.07
Goal Diff-12
L L D L W
FC Aarau
2#Rank
27Played
62Points
2.3PPG
21Goal Diff
W W W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.8%
9.29
1-2
9.0%
11.11
FC Aarau 4+
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
12.95
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.62
NO 38% · 2.62
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Rapperswil 20% · 5.04
Draw 34% · 2.92
FC Aarau 46% · 2.18
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67 Under 40% · 2.49
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.23 Under 18% · 5.42
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.67 Under 63% · 1.6

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Rapperswil Rapperswil
L L D L W
FC Aarau FC Aarau
W W W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Rapperswil
Stat
FC Aarau
1.43
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.67
#6
League Pos.
#2
29 pts
Points
62 pts
1.07
Points / Game
2.3
-12
Goal Diff.
+21

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Vaduz FC Vaduz
28 20 5 3 +29 65
2
FC Aarau FC Aarau A
28 21 2 5 +22 65
3
Yverdon Sport Yverdon Sport
28 15 5 8 +19 50
4
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
28 11 6 11 +7 39
5
Neuchatel Xamax FC Neuchatel Xamax FC
28 10 6 12 -3 36
6
FC WIL 1900 FC WIL 1900
28 7 9 12 -15 30
7
Étoile Carouge Étoile Carouge
28 7 8 13 -9 29
8
Rapperswil Rapperswil H
28 9 2 17 -13 29
9
Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais
28 5 13 10 -7 28
10
Bellinzona Bellinzona
28 4 6 18 -30 18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record