La Liga
February 28, 2026
Rayo Vallecano
1–1
FT
Athletic Club
We predicted
1-1
27% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 28 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
27%
Team Context
Rayo Vallecano
Rank#15
Played24
Points26
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-9
D
W
L
L
L
Athletic Club
8#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
-6Goal Diff
W
W
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.2%
8.2
1-0
9.6%
10.43
2-1
8.8%
11.43
0-1
8.5%
11.78
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.82
NO
45% · 2.21
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Rayo Vallecano
41% · 2.44
Draw
26% · 3.89
Athletic Club
33% · 2.99
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.97
Under 49% · 2.03
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33
Under 25% · 4.04
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.49
Under 71% · 1.4
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano
D
W
L
L
L
Athletic Club
W
W
W
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Rayo Vallecano
Stat
Athletic Club
1.44
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.27
#15
League Pos.
#8
26 pts
Points
34 pts
1.08
Points / Game
1.36
-9
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
4 W
Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Athletic Club
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | +51 | 76 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +36 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |
Real Sociedad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 |
Espanyol
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 11 |
Athletic Club
A
|
30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
H
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 35 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 |
Sevilla
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -27 | 24 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.