La Liga La Liga February 15, 2026
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

30
FT
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

We predicted

1-0 28% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Rayo Vallecano
Rank#18
Played22
Points22
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-12
L L L W D
Atletico Madrid
3#Rank
23Played
45Points
1.96PPG
20Goal Diff
L D W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.3%
6.99
1-1
12.2%
8.19
2-0
10.7%
9.36
0-0
9.6%
10.44
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.25
NO 55% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Rayo Vallecano 52% · 1.92
Draw 26% · 3.81
Atletico Madrid 22% · 4.65
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.41 Under 58% · 1.71
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.12
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.78 Under 79% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
L L L W D
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
L D W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Rayo Vallecano
Stat
Atletico Madrid
1.49
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.85
#18
League Pos.
#3
22 pts
Points
45 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.96
-12
Goal Diff.
+20

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona Barcelona
30 25 1 4 +51 76
2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
30 22 3 5 +36 69
3
Villarreal Villarreal
29 18 4 7 +20 58
4
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid A
30 17 6 7 +20 57
5
Real Betis Real Betis
30 11 12 7 +7 45
6
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
30 11 8 11 +1 41
7
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
29 10 11 8 +6 41
8
Getafe Getafe
29 11 5 13 -6 38
9
Espanyol Espanyol
30 10 8 12 -8 38
10
Athletic Club Athletic Club
29 11 5 13 -9 38
11
Osasuna Osasuna
29 10 7 12 -1 37
12
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano H
30 8 11 11 -6 35
13
Valencia Valencia
29 9 8 12 -10 35
14
Girona Girona
29 8 10 11 -13 34
15
Alaves Alaves
29 8 7 14 -11 31
16
Sevilla Sevilla
29 8 7 14 -12 31
17
Mallorca Mallorca
30 8 7 15 -12 31
18
Elche Elche
30 6 11 13 -9 29
19
Levante Levante
30 6 8 16 -16 26
20
Oviedo Oviedo
29 4 9 16 -28 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record