La Liga
May 17, 2026
Rayo Vallecano
16:00
VS
Villarreal
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Rayo Vallecano
Rank#13
Played27
Points31
PPG1.15
Goal Diff-6
D
W
D
D
W
Villarreal
4#Rank
27Played
54Points
2.0PPG
18Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.34
1-0
11.5%
8.73
2-1
9.5%
10.58
2-0
9.0%
11.07
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.94
NO
49% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Rayo Vallecano
34% · 2.96
Draw
33% · 3.02
Villarreal
33% · 3.02
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.06
Under 51% · 1.95
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36
Under 26% · 3.8
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.73
Under 73% · 1.37
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano
D
W
D
D
W
Villarreal
W
L
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Rayo Vallecano
Stat
Villarreal
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#13
League Pos.
#4
31 pts
Points
54 pts
1.15
Points / Game
2.0
-6
Goal Diff.
+18
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
3 W
Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Villarreal
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | +51 | 76 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +36 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
A
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |
Real Sociedad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 7 |
Celta Vigo
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 9 |
Espanyol
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 38 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
H
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -10 | 35 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 |
Sevilla
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -28 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.