Bundesliga
February 21, 2026
RB Leipzig
2–2
FT
Borussia Dortmund
We predicted
1-1
26% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
26%
Team Context
RB Leipzig
Rank#5
Played22
Points40
PPG1.82
Goal Diff12
D
W
L
D
W
Borussia Dortmund
2#Rank
22Played
51Points
2.32PPG
27Goal Diff
W
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.3%
9.73
1-2
8.4%
11.88
2-1
8.3%
12.09
Borussia Dortmund 4+
7.8%
Both Teams To Score
YES
64% · 1.55
NO
36% · 2.81
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
RB Leipzig
38% · 2.65
Draw
23% · 4.29
Borussia Dortmund
39% · 2.57
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59
Under 37% · 2.69
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2
Under 17% · 6.03
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.46
Under 59% · 1.68
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
RB Leipzig
D
W
L
D
W
Borussia Dortmund
W
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
RB Leipzig
Stat
Borussia Dortmund
1.61
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.64
#5
League Pos.
#2
40 pts
Points
51 pts
1.82
Points / Game
2.32
+12
Goal Diff.
+27
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
RB Leipzig
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +73 | 73 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
A
|
28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | +32 | 64 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
H
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +19 | 53 |
| 4 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 53 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 50 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 49 |
| 7 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 |
Union Berlin
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 32 |
| 11 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 |
Hamburger SV
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 |
FC St. Pauli
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -20 | 25 |
| 17 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -34 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.