Primera División RFEF - Group 1
March 22, 2026
Real Avilés
1–1
FT
Cacereño
We predicted
1-1
34% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Real Avilés
Rank#14
Played28
Points33
PPG1.18
Goal Diff-8
D
L
D
D
L
Cacereño
18#Rank
28Played
29Points
1.04PPG
-11Goal Diff
D
L
D
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.6%
8.64
1-0
10.7%
9.35
2-1
9.6%
10.38
2-0
8.9%
11.25
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.87
NO
46% · 2.15
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Real Avilés
34% · 2.9
Draw
33% · 3.06
Cacereño
33% · 3.04
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.94
Under 48% · 2.07
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.15
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.39
Under 71% · 1.42
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Real Avilés
D
L
D
D
L
Cacereño
D
L
D
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Real Avilés
Stat
Cacereño
1.66
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#14
League Pos.
#18
33 pts
Points
29 pts
1.18
Points / Game
1.04
-8
Goal Diff.
-11
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
0 W
Real Avilés
Draw
Cacereño
6
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tenerife
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +33 | 65 |
| 2 |
Celta de Vigo II
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +5 | 54 |
| 3 |
Ponferradina
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 47 |
| 4 |
Barakaldo
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |
Pontevedra
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 6 |
Real Madrid II
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +5 | 46 |
| 7 |
Zamora
|
31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +5 | 46 |
| 8 |
Lugo
|
31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | +0 | 45 |
| 9 |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | +2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club II
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Mérida AD
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 |
Racing Ferrol
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Arenas Getxo
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 |
Real Avilés
H
|
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 |
CF Talavera
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 |
Guadalajara
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 |
Ourense CF
|
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 |
Cacereño
A
|
31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 |
Osasuna II
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 |
Arenteiro
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -14 | 26 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.