La Liga
March 14, 2026
Real Madrid
4–1
FT
Elche
We predicted
Real Madrid 4+
64% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Real Madrid 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Real Madrid 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
64%
Team Context
Real Madrid
Rank#2
Played27
Points63
PPG2.33
Goal Diff33
W
L
L
W
W
Elche
17#Rank
27Played
26Points
0.96PPG
-6Goal Diff
L
D
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Real Madrid 4+
43.6%
3-0
12.6%
7.96
2-0
10.6%
9.44
3-1
7.6%
13.16
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.27
NO
56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Real Madrid
73% · 1.36
Draw
25% · 4.06
Elche
2% · 50.76
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.32
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
91%
Over 91% · 1.09
Under 9% · 11.57
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76
Under 43% · 2.31
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Real Madrid
W
L
L
W
W
Elche
L
D
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Real Madrid
Stat
Elche
3.56
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.61
#2
League Pos.
#17
63 pts
Points
26 pts
2.33
Points / Game
0.96
+33
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
Real Madrid
Draw
Elche
20
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | +51 | 76 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
H
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +36 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |
Real Sociedad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 7 |
Celta Vigo
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 9 |
Espanyol
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 38 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -10 | 35 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 |
Sevilla
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 |
Elche
A
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -28 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.