La Liga La Liga February 1, 2026
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

21
FT
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

We predicted

Real Madrid 4+ 31% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Real Madrid 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 31%
Team Context
Real Madrid
Rank#2
Played21
Points51
PPG2.43
Goal Diff28
W W W W W
Rayo Vallecano
16#Rank
21Played
22Points
1.05PPG
-11Goal Diff
L L W D L
Most Likely Scores
Real Madrid 4+
12.0%
1-1
10.5%
9.57
2-1
9.9%
10.06
1-0
9.7%
10.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.78
NO 44% · 2.28
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Real Madrid 56% · 1.77
Draw 22% · 4.49
Rayo Vallecano 21% · 4.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75 Under 43% · 2.33
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 4.93
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.89 Under 65% · 1.53

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Real Madrid Real Madrid
W W W W W
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
L L W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Real Madrid
Stat
Rayo Vallecano
1.9
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#2
League Pos.
#16
51 pts
Points
22 pts
2.43
Points / Game
1.05
+28
Goal Diff.
-11

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
3 D
0 W
Real Madrid
Draw
Rayo Vallecano
14 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona Barcelona
30 25 1 4 +51 76
2
Real Madrid Real Madrid H
30 22 3 5 +36 69
3
Villarreal Villarreal
29 18 4 7 +20 58
4
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
30 17 6 7 +20 57
5
Real Betis Real Betis
30 11 12 7 +7 45
6
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
30 11 8 11 +1 41
7
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
29 10 11 8 +6 41
8
Getafe Getafe
29 11 5 13 -6 38
9
Espanyol Espanyol
30 10 8 12 -8 38
10
Athletic Club Athletic Club
29 11 5 13 -9 38
11
Osasuna Osasuna
29 10 7 12 -1 37
12
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano A
30 8 11 11 -6 35
13
Valencia Valencia
29 9 8 12 -10 35
14
Girona Girona
29 8 10 11 -13 34
15
Alaves Alaves
29 8 7 14 -11 31
16
Sevilla Sevilla
29 8 7 14 -12 31
17
Mallorca Mallorca
30 8 7 15 -12 31
18
Elche Elche
30 6 11 13 -9 29
19
Levante Levante
30 6 8 16 -16 26
20
Oviedo Oviedo
29 4 9 16 -28 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record