Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
March 15, 2026
Real Sociedad III
1–0
FT
Deusto
We predicted
1-0
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Real Sociedad III
Rank#11
Played25
Points33
PPG1.32
Goal Diff-6
L
D
L
W
L
Deusto
17#Rank
25Played
21Points
0.84PPG
-12Goal Diff
W
D
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.6%
6.87
1-1
11.9%
8.4
2-0
11.3%
8.87
0-0
9.4%
10.64
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.28
NO
56% · 1.78
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Real Sociedad III
51% · 1.97
Draw
33% · 3.0
Deusto
16% · 6.3
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.38
Under 58% · 1.73
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.46
Under 32% · 3.16
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.69
Under 79% · 1.27
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Real Sociedad III
L
D
L
W
L
Deusto
W
D
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Real Sociedad III
Stat
Deusto
1.55
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#11
League Pos.
#17
33 pts
Points
21 pts
1.32
Points / Game
0.84
-6
Goal Diff.
-12
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
Real Sociedad III
Draw
Deusto
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugalete
|
29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Leioa
|
29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 53 |
| 3 |
Touring
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 53 |
| 4 |
Lagun Onak
|
29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | +20 | 52 |
| 5 |
San Ignacio
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 48 |
| 6 |
Derio
|
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +11 | 47 |
| 7 |
Aurrerá Vitoria
|
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +3 | 47 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Alavés III
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +13 | 44 |
| 9 |
Real Sociedad III
H
|
29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 |
Aretxabaleta
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 |
Durango
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 |
Santurtzi
|
29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 |
Pasaia KE
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 |
Añorga
|
29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | -22 | 30 |
| 15 |
Zamudio
|
29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -18 | 29 |
| 16 |
Eibar III
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 |
Zarautz
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -26 | 26 |
| 18 |
Deusto
A
|
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -18 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.