Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 March 29, 2026
Real Sociedad III

Real Sociedad III

20
FT
Pasaia KE

Pasaia KE

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Real Sociedad III
Rank#11
Played27
Points36
PPG1.33
Goal Diff-6
D W L D L
Pasaia KE
12#Rank
27Played
31Points
1.15PPG
-8Goal Diff
W D L D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.1
1-1
12.1%
8.26
2-0
10.7%
9.34
0-0
9.3%
10.8
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.22
NO 55% · 1.82
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Real Sociedad III 36% · 2.8
Draw 34% · 2.98
Pasaia KE 31% · 3.25
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.36 Under 58% · 1.74
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.46 Under 31% · 3.19
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.62 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
D W L D L
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
W D L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Real Sociedad III
Stat
Pasaia KE
1.52
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#11
League Pos.
#12
36 pts
Points
31 pts
1.33
Points / Game
1.15
-6
Goal Diff.
-8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III H
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE A
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record