La Liga
April 11, 2026
Real Sociedad
12:00
VS
Alaves
Predicted score
Real Sociedad 4+
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Real Sociedad
Rank#8
Played27
Points35
PPG1.3
Goal Diff-1
L
W
D
L
W
Alaves
16#Rank
27Played
27Points
1.0PPG
-12Goal Diff
L
L
D
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Real Sociedad 4+
11.6%
1-1
10.6%
9.43
1-0
10.1%
9.93
2-1
9.9%
10.06
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.82
NO
45% · 2.23
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Real Sociedad
52% · 1.93
Draw
32% · 3.17
Alaves
17% · 6.02
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79
Under 44% · 2.27
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27
Under 21% · 4.74
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 2.99
Under 67% · 1.5
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Real Sociedad
L
W
D
L
W
Alaves
L
L
D
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Real Sociedad
Stat
Alaves
1.88
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#8
League Pos.
#16
35 pts
Points
27 pts
1.3
Points / Game
1.0
-1
Goal Diff.
-12
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Real Sociedad
Draw
Alaves
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | +51 | 76 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +36 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |
Real Sociedad
H
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 |
Espanyol
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 11 |
Athletic Club
|
30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 35 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
A
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 |
Sevilla
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -27 | 24 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.