Primeira Liga Primeira Liga April 4, 2026
Rio Ave

Rio Ave

12
FT
Alverca

Alverca

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Rio Ave
Rank#14
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-20
W D L L L
Alverca
10#Rank
25Played
28Points
1.12PPG
-15Goal Diff
D D D D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
7.55
1-0
13.2%
7.56
0-1
10.8%
9.24
0-0
10.8%
9.26
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.24
NO 55% · 1.81
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Rio Ave 39% · 2.58
Draw 31% · 3.2
Alverca 30% · 3.33
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.6 Under 62% · 1.62
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53 Under 35% · 2.87
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.39 Under 81% · 1.23

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Rio Ave Rio Ave
W D L L L
Alverca Alverca
D D D D L

Key Stats Comparison

Rio Ave
Stat
Alverca
1.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.0
#14
League Pos.
#10
24 pts
Points
28 pts
0.96
Points / Game
1.12
-20
Goal Diff.
-15

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
2 D
1 W
Rio Ave
Draw
Alverca
10 total goals
4 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca A
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave H
28 7 9 12 -19 30
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record