Primeira Liga Primeira Liga January 31, 2026
Rio Ave

Rio Ave

03
FT
Arouca

Arouca

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, January 31 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.87
0-1
10.7%
9.33
1-0
9.4%
10.63
1-2
8.6%
11.68
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.95
NO 49% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Rio Ave 33% · 3.05
Draw 27% · 3.74
Arouca 41% · 2.47
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.15 Under 54% · 1.87
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.56
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.02 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Rio Ave
Stat
Arouca
1.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.35

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
Rio Ave
Draw
Arouca
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave H
28 7 9 12 -19 30
12
Arouca Arouca A
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record