National League National League April 3, 2026
Rochdale

Rochdale

24
FT
Morecambe

Morecambe

We predicted

Rochdale 4+ 49% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Rochdale 4+
|
Actual 2–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 49%
Team Context
Rochdale
Rank#1
Played41
Points98
PPG2.39
Goal Diff47
W D W L W
Morecambe
23#Rank
41Played
34Points
0.83PPG
-27Goal Diff
L L L D W
Most Likely Scores
Rochdale 4+
21.2%
2-1
9.7%
10.35
2-0
8.8%
11.31
1-1
8.0%
12.5
Both Teams To Score
YES 60% · 1.65
NO 40% · 2.53
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Rochdale 58% · 1.73
Draw 29% · 3.46
Morecambe 13% · 7.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48 Under 32% · 3.1
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.16 Under 14% · 7.32
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.18 Under 54% · 1.85

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Rochdale Rochdale
W D W L W
Morecambe Morecambe
L L L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Rochdale
Stat
Morecambe
2.42
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.09
#1
League Pos.
#23
98 pts
Points
34 pts
2.39
Points / Game
0.83
+47
Goal Diff.
-27

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
York York
42 30 8 4 +68 98
2
Rochdale Rochdale H
42 31 5 6 +45 98
3
Carlisle Carlisle
42 26 7 9 +29 85
4
Boreham Wood Boreham Wood
42 24 9 9 +33 81
5
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe
42 22 12 8 +17 78
6
Forest Green Forest Green
42 21 11 10 +24 74
7
Southend Southend
40 19 11 10 +27 68
8
FC Halifax Town FC Halifax Town
42 19 8 15 +6 65
9
Hartlepool Hartlepool
41 16 13 12 -2 61
10
Tamworth Tamworth
42 16 9 17 -11 57
11
Woking Woking
41 14 13 14 +9 55
12
Wealdstone Wealdstone
41 14 9 18 -8 51
13
Yeovil Town Yeovil Town
42 15 5 22 -13 50
14
Solihull Moors Solihull Moors
41 12 12 17 -4 48
15
Boston United Boston United
41 12 12 17 -10 48
16
Altrincham Altrincham
42 14 6 22 -13 48
17
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
42 11 14 17 -12 47
18
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
41 13 7 21 -9 46
19
Gateshead Gateshead
42 12 8 22 -34 44
20
Eastleigh Eastleigh
42 11 10 21 -24 43
21
Brackley Town Brackley Town
42 9 11 22 -32 38
22
Morecambe Morecambe A
42 9 10 23 -25 37
23
Braintree Braintree
42 8 11 23 -31 35
24
Truro City Truro City
42 7 9 26 -30 30

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record