Third League - Southeast Third League - Southeast April 4, 2026
Rodopa Smolyan

Rodopa Smolyan

13
FT
Nesebar

Nesebar

We predicted

Nesebar 4+ 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Nesebar 4+
|
Actual 1–3

We predicted the correct result direction (away), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Rodopa Smolyan
Rank#13
Played26
Points31
PPG1.19
Goal Diff-16
L W W L D
Nesebar
1#Rank
25Played
61Points
2.44PPG
56Goal Diff
D W W D W
Most Likely Scores
Nesebar 4+
12.4%
1-1
9.9%
10.06
1-2
9.6%
10.4
0-1
7.7%
13.07
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.61
NO 38% · 2.64
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Rodopa Smolyan 15% · 6.48
Draw 33% · 3.0
Nesebar 51% · 1.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.6 Under 37% · 2.67
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2 Under 17% · 5.97
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.48 Under 60% · 1.67

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Rodopa Smolyan Rodopa Smolyan
L W W L D
Nesebar Nesebar
D W W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Rodopa Smolyan
Stat
Nesebar
1.3
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.94
#13
League Pos.
#1
31 pts
Points
61 pts
1.19
Points / Game
2.44
-16
Goal Diff.
+56

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record