3. Liga
March 14, 2026
Rot-Weiß Essen
4–2
FT
Erzgebirge Aue
We predicted
Rot-Weiß Essen 4+
45% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Rot-Weiß Essen 4+
|
Actual
4–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Rot-Weiß Essen 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
45%
Team Context
Rot-Weiß Essen
Rank#4
Played28
Points49
PPG1.75
Goal Diff9
W
W
L
L
W
Erzgebirge Aue
17#Rank
28Played
24Points
0.86PPG
-17Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
Rot-Weiß Essen 4+
18.1%
2-1
9.9%
10.1
2-0
9.9%
10.14
1-1
8.8%
11.36
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.77
NO
43% · 2.31
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Rot-Weiß Essen
57% · 1.75
Draw
29% · 3.39
Erzgebirge Aue
13% · 7.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59
Under 37% · 2.69
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2
Under 17% · 6.04
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.47
Under 60% · 1.68
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Rot-Weiß Essen
W
W
L
L
W
Erzgebirge Aue
L
L
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Rot-Weiß Essen
Stat
Erzgebirge Aue
2.25
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.0
#4
League Pos.
#17
49 pts
Points
24 pts
1.75
Points / Game
0.86
+9
Goal Diff.
-17
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Rot-Weiß Essen
Draw
Erzgebirge Aue
22
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | +28 | 64 |
| 2 |
Rot-Weiß Essen
H
|
31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | +13 | 58 |
| 3 |
Energie Cottbus
|
31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | +14 | 57 |
| 4 |
Verl
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +28 | 54 |
| 5 |
MSV Duisburg
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +12 | 54 |
| 6 |
Hansa Rostock
|
31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | +20 | 53 |
| 7 |
TSV 1860 München
|
31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 8 |
SV Wehen
|
31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 9 |
Alemannia Aachen
|
31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | +5 | 47 |
| 10 |
Waldhof Mannheim
|
31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | -5 | 46 |
| 11 |
FC Viktoria Köln
|
31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | +1 | 41 |
| 12 |
Stuttgart II
|
31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | +8 | 40 |
| 14 |
SSV Jahn Regensburg
|
31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 |
Hoffenheim II
|
31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 16 |
FC Saarbrücken
|
31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -5 | 36 |
| 17 |
SSV Ulm 1846
|
31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | -22 | 28 |
| 18 |
Erzgebirge Aue
A
|
31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -22 | 24 |
| 19 |
Havelse
|
31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -29 | 23 |
| 20 |
FC Schweinfurt 05
|
31 | 5 | 2 | 24 | -44 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.