3. Liga 3. Liga April 4, 2026
Rot-Weiß Essen

Rot-Weiß Essen

10
FT
MSV Duisburg

MSV Duisburg

We predicted

Rot-Weiß Essen 4+ 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Rot-Weiß Essen 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Rot-Weiß Essen
Rank#2
Played30
Points55
PPG1.83
Goal Diff12
W W W W L
MSV Duisburg
4#Rank
30Played
54Points
1.8PPG
13Goal Diff
W L W D D
Most Likely Scores
Rot-Weiß Essen 4+
10.3%
1-1
10.2%
9.85
2-1
9.2%
10.89
1-2
7.3%
13.72
Both Teams To Score
YES 64% · 1.57
NO 36% · 2.76
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Rot-Weiß Essen 46% · 2.18
Draw 32% · 3.15
MSV Duisburg 22% · 4.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59 Under 37% · 2.69
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2 Under 17% · 6.04
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.46 Under 59% · 1.68

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
W W W W L
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
W L W D D

Key Stats Comparison

Rot-Weiß Essen
Stat
MSV Duisburg
1.81
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.44
#2
League Pos.
#4
55 pts
Points
54 pts
1.83
Points / Game
1.8
+12
Goal Diff.
+13

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
0 W
Rot-Weiß Essen
Draw
MSV Duisburg
1 total goals
1 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück
31 19 7 5 +28 64
2
Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen H
31 16 10 5 +13 58
3
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus
31 16 9 6 +14 57
4
Verl Verl
30 15 9 6 +29 54
5
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg A
31 15 9 7 +12 54
6
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock
31 14 11 6 +20 53
7
TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München
31 14 8 9 +7 50
8
SV Wehen SV Wehen
30 14 6 10 +9 48
9
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim
31 14 4 13 -5 46
10
Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen
30 13 5 12 +2 44
11
FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln
31 12 5 14 +1 41
12
Stuttgart II Stuttgart II
31 12 5 14 -11 41
13
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
30 10 10 10 +9 40
14
SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg
31 11 6 14 -5 39
15
Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II
31 11 5 15 +1 38
16
FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken
30 7 12 11 -6 33
17
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846
30 7 4 19 -23 25
18
Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue
31 5 9 17 -22 24
19
Havelse Havelse
31 5 8 18 -29 23
20
FC Schweinfurt 05 FC Schweinfurt 05
31 5 2 24 -44 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record