Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 March 22, 2026
RSD Alcalá

RSD Alcalá

10
FT
Navalcarnero

Navalcarnero

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
RSD Alcalá
Rank#10
Played27
Points35
PPG1.3
Goal Diff-4
L W W D L
Navalcarnero
8#Rank
27Played
36Points
1.33PPG
-2Goal Diff
W L W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.1%
8.24
1-0
11.5%
8.73
2-1
9.4%
10.7
2-0
8.8%
11.33
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.95
NO 49% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
RSD Alcalá 33% · 3.03
Draw 33% · 3.0
Navalcarnero 34% · 2.97
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08 Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.74
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.8 Under 74% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

RSD Alcalá RSD Alcalá
L W W D L
Navalcarnero Navalcarnero
W L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

RSD Alcalá
Stat
Navalcarnero
1.54
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.06
#10
League Pos.
#8
35 pts
Points
36 pts
1.3
Points / Game
1.33
-4
Goal Diff.
-2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
SS Reyes SS Reyes
30 19 6 5 +23 63
2
Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda
30 17 9 4 +23 60
3
Getafe II Getafe II
30 15 8 7 +19 53
4
Conquense Conquense
30 13 12 5 +11 51
5
CD Coria CD Coria
30 13 9 8 +10 48
6
Tenerife II Tenerife II
30 14 5 11 +5 47
7
RSD Alcalá RSD Alcalá H
30 12 8 10 -1 44
8
Orihuela Orihuela
30 11 10 9 +5 43
9
Elche II Elche II
30 9 11 10 +0 38
10
Las Palmas II Las Palmas II
30 10 8 12 +0 38
11
Intercity Intercity
30 9 10 11 -3 37
12
Navalcarnero Navalcarnero A
30 9 9 12 -5 36
13
Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada
30 8 9 13 -6 33
14
Quintanar del Rey Quintanar del Rey
30 9 5 16 -8 32
15
Real Madrid III Real Madrid III
30 8 7 15 -7 31
16
Colonia Moscardó Colonia Moscardó
30 8 6 16 -18 30
17
Socuéllamos Socuéllamos
30 6 9 15 -21 27
18
Rayo Vallecano II Rayo Vallecano II
30 8 3 19 -27 27

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record