USL Championship USL Championship March 22, 2026
Sacramento Republic

Sacramento Republic

11
FT
Monterey Bay

Monterey Bay

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Sacramento Republic
Rank#2
Played30
Points48
PPG1.6
Goal Diff17
L L W D L
Monterey Bay
11#Rank
30Played
29Points
0.97PPG
-18Goal Diff
D L L W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.2%
6.59
1-1
12.0%
8.3
2-0
11.3%
8.83
0-0
10.2%
9.84
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.35
NO 58% · 1.74
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sacramento Republic 50% · 1.99
Draw 34% · 2.96
Monterey Bay 16% · 6.26
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.5 Under 60% · 1.67
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 2.99
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.07 Under 80% · 1.25

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic
L L W D L
Monterey Bay Monterey Bay
D L L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Sacramento Republic
Stat
Monterey Bay
1.49
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.79
#2
League Pos.
#11
48 pts
Points
29 pts
1.6
Points / Game
0.97
+17
Goal Diff.
-18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record