Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 March 22, 2026
San Ignacio

San Ignacio

01
FT
Aretxabaleta

Aretxabaleta

We predicted

San Ignacio 4+ 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted San Ignacio 4+
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
San Ignacio
Rank#7
Played26
Points42
PPG1.62
Goal Diff8
D W D L W
Aretxabaleta
11#Rank
26Played
35Points
1.35PPG
-1Goal Diff
L L W L W
Most Likely Scores
San Ignacio 4+
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
8.83
2-0
10.6%
9.41
1-1
10.6%
9.45
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.95
NO 49% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
San Ignacio 54% · 1.87
Draw 31% · 3.19
Aretxabaleta 15% · 6.65
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88 Under 47% · 2.13
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.35
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.24 Under 69% · 1.45

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

San Ignacio San Ignacio
D W D L W
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
L L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

San Ignacio
Stat
Aretxabaleta
1.88
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.93
#7
League Pos.
#11
42 pts
Points
35 pts
1.62
Points / Game
1.35
+8
Goal Diff.
-1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio H
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta A
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record