Primera Nacional Primera Nacional April 4, 2026
San Martin Tucuman

San Martin Tucuman

11
FT
Chacarita Juniors

Chacarita Juniors

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
San Martin Tucuman
Rank#6
Played34
Points49
PPG1.44
Goal Diff3
D D L W L
Chacarita Juniors
9#Rank
34Played
49Points
1.44PPG
8Goal Diff
L D L L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
20.7%
4.83
0-0
17.8%
5.61
2-0
12.0%
8.31
1-1
11.7%
8.58
Both Teams To Score
YES 30% · 3.38
NO 70% · 1.42
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
San Martin Tucuman 48% · 2.07
Draw 37% · 2.71
Chacarita Juniors 15% · 6.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.01 Under 75% · 1.33
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.94 Under 49% · 2.06
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
90%
Over 10% · 10.33 Under 90% · 1.11

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
D D L W L
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
L D L L D

Key Stats Comparison

San Martin Tucuman
Stat
Chacarita Juniors
1.16
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.56
#6
League Pos.
#9
49 pts
Points
49 pts
1.44
Points / Game
1.44
+3
Goal Diff.
+8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record