Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
March 15, 2026
San Roque Lepe
1–1
FT
Ciudad de Lucena
We predicted
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
San Roque Lepe
Rank#6
Played25
Points39
PPG1.56
Goal Diff8
L
D
W
D
W
Ciudad de Lucena
1#Rank
25Played
51Points
2.04PPG
31Goal Diff
W
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
7.54
1-0
12.7%
7.9
0-1
10.9%
9.14
0-0
10.5%
9.57
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.19
NO
54% · 1.84
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
San Roque Lepe
28% · 3.59
Draw
35% · 2.85
Ciudad de Lucena
37% · 2.7
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.55
Under 61% · 1.65
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52
Under 34% · 2.94
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.21
Under 81% · 1.24
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
San Roque Lepe
L
D
W
D
W
Ciudad de Lucena
W
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
San Roque Lepe
Stat
Ciudad de Lucena
1.21
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#6
League Pos.
#1
39 pts
Points
51 pts
1.56
Points / Game
2.04
+8
Goal Diff.
+31
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
3 D
2 W
San Roque Lepe
Draw
Ciudad de Lucena
8
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ciudad de Lucena
A
|
29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | +37 | 61 |
| 2 |
Dos Hermanas
|
29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | +30 | 55 |
| 3 |
Bollullos
|
29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Linense
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +15 | 48 |
| 5 |
Cádiz II
|
29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 6 |
Atlético Central
|
29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +5 | 47 |
| 7 |
Conil
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +0 | 43 |
| 8 |
Ceuta II
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 |
San Roque Lepe
H
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +4 | 41 |
| 10 |
Pozoblanco
|
29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 |
Chiclana
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -6 | 37 |
| 12 |
Sevilla III
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 |
Utrera
|
29 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 |
Tomares
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 32 |
| 15 |
Atlético Onubense
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 |
Córdoba II
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -8 | 31 |
| 17 |
Castilleja
|
29 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -32 | 23 |
| 18 |
Coria CF
|
29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -31 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.