Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 15, 2026
Santa Amalia

Santa Amalia

21
FT
Calamonte

Calamonte

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Santa Amalia
Rank#13
Played25
Points30
PPG1.2
Goal Diff-10
L L L L L
Calamonte
16#Rank
25Played
19Points
0.76PPG
-12Goal Diff
L L D D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.07
1-1
12.7%
7.91
0-0
10.1%
9.88
2-0
9.9%
10.13
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.25
NO 56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Santa Amalia 43% · 2.32
Draw 30% · 3.29
Calamonte 26% · 3.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.49 Under 60% · 1.67
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 3.0
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.04 Under 80% · 1.25

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
L L L L L
Calamonte Calamonte
L L D D W

Key Stats Comparison

Santa Amalia
Stat
Calamonte
1.4
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#13
League Pos.
#16
30 pts
Points
19 pts
1.2
Points / Game
0.76
-10
Goal Diff.
-12

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
28 17 7 4 +38 58
2
Moralo Moralo
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
28 17 5 6 +18 53
4
Azuaga Azuaga
28 15 7 6 +18 52
5
Jaraíz Jaraíz
28 14 9 5 +22 51
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
28 11 8 9 +3 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
28 10 6 12 +1 36
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia H
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
28 5 9 14 -22 24
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
28 6 5 17 -27 23
17
Calamonte Calamonte A
28 3 11 14 -14 20
18
Montehermoso Montehermoso
28 4 8 17 -31 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record