Primeira Liga
May 10, 2026
Santa Clara
16:00
VS
Nacional
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 10 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Santa Clara
Rank#16
Played25
Points22
PPG0.88
Goal Diff-9
W
D
D
L
L
Nacional
15#Rank
25Played
22Points
0.88PPG
-8Goal Diff
D
L
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.8%
6.75
1-1
13.3%
7.5
0-0
12.9%
7.75
0-1
11.6%
8.61
Both Teams To Score
YES
40% · 2.47
NO
60% · 1.68
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Santa Clara
43% · 2.34
Draw
36% · 2.77
Nacional
21% · 4.73
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.98
Under 66% · 1.51
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.65
Under 39% · 2.54
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.61
Under 85% · 1.18
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Santa Clara
W
D
D
L
L
Nacional
D
L
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Santa Clara
Stat
Nacional
1.15
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.9
#16
League Pos.
#15
22 pts
Points
22 pts
0.88
Points / Game
0.88
-9
Goal Diff.
-8
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Santa Clara
Draw
Nacional
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
H
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
A
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.